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PhD Final Defense – Tarun Agrawal

Event Type
Seminar/Symposium
Sponsor
Civil and Environmental Engineering
Location
Classroom 2015 Hydro System Lab, Zoom
Virtual
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Date
Aug 19, 2025   12:00 pm  
Views
48
Originating Calendar
CEE Seminars and Conferences

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Meeting ID: 844 8406 0127 Passcode: 016243

https://illinois.zoom.us/j/84484060127?pwd=YSKwksbaq6ULaazkh2D8UX0CNa2kzH.1

Physically Informed Deep Learning for Multivariate River Solute Predictions

Advisor: Professor Praveen Kumar

Abstract:

River solute chemistry arises from complex, multiscale nonlinear interactions among

hydrological, geochemical, and landscape processes, often disrupted by human interventions

such as land use change and drainage network modifications. Traditional models capture either

rapid fluctuations or long-term shifts, but rarely both, limiting their utility in a dynamic

environmental context. This dissertation presents physics-informed machine learning models to

predict river solute concentrations across scales, using high-frequency data from three

contrasting catchments (Plynlimon in Wales, U.K., Orgeval in France, and Upper Sangamon in

Illinois, USA). We integrate machine learning models, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and

Transformer architectures, with spatio-temporal data, including static catchment attributes

such as slope, porosity, aspect, and vegetation index (NDVI). First, we propose a novel

modification to the traditional gate model in LSTM, termed “flow-gate” to capture hysteresis.

Second, we develop an adaptive LSTM with additional gates, including “flux-gate” and “flowflux-

gate,” that activate based on flow and flux gradients to capture distinct regimes and

resulting solute dynamics. Third, we introduce the non-stationary Transformer with geospatial

features (NST-Geo), which uses static and NDVI embeddings to enhance long-term prediction

capabilities that can be attributed to spatial drivers. Together, these contributions improve the

interpretability and robustness of ML-based water quality predictions by integrating physical

insights.

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