Speaker Khashi Ghorbani - Strategic Responses to Ban Enforcement Uncertainty: Antibiotic Application Decisions in Plant Agriculture
- Event Type
- Seminar/Symposium
- Sponsor
- FACS (Food, Agriculture, and Commodities Seminar) - Job Market Paper
- Location
- 428 Mumford Hall
- Virtual
- Join online
- Date
- Oct 29, 2025 12:00 - 1:00 pm
- Speaker
- Khashi Ghorbani, PhD Student, UIUC Dept ACE
- Views
- 52
Abstract
The rise of antibiotic resistance in plant agriculture, coupled with limited disease management options and potential antibiotic bans, complicates growers' disease management decision-making. We develop the first dynamic model of optimal antibiotic use in plant agriculture under ban enforcement uncertainty. We find that proactive growers who adjust to anticipated bans overexploit antibiotic efficacy and gain benefits over business-as-usual growers. The magnitude of these benefits increases monotonically with the resource value if a ban takes place, but that relationship is nonlinear otherwise. We propose an instrument to compensate proactive growers for adapting to unmaterialized bans.