Speaker Geoff Barrows - Quantifying Climate Damages When Regions Trade: A Structural Gravity Approach
- Event Type
- Seminar/Symposium
- Sponsor
- ACE (Dept of Agricultural and Consumer Economics)
- Location
- 428 Mumford Hall
- Virtual
- Join online
- Date
- Oct 10, 2025 12:00 - 1:00 pm
- Speaker
- Dr. Geoff Barrows, Researcher, Ecole Polytechnique, France
- Views
- 15
Abstract
This paper presents a method for estimating treatment effects of local climate shocks when regions trade with each other. Because of spillovers induced by trade flows, comparing the evolution of outcomes between pre-shock and post-shock periods in regions exposed versus unexposed to local shocks leads to a biased estimate of treatment effect. We model these across-region dependencies using standard assumptions from international trade theory. We use our model-consistent estimation strategy to revisit the literature on the evaluation of impacts from climate change onto country-level gross output using year-to-year variation in temperature.