Prospects of understanding and constraining regional climate projection uncertainty
With climate change adaptation now being inevitable, demand for accurate climate projections is growing. However, uncertainty in future projections, especially at regional scales, remains sizable and originates from a mix of reducible and irreducible sources. We will review the main sources of projection uncertainty across scales and model generations, before discussing prospects of constraining them at the example of regional temperature and precipitation over the Southwestern U.S., a region in need of more robust climate information for water resource management purposes.
