Atmospheric sciences colloquia

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Seminar coordinator for AY 2022-2023 is Professor Zhuo Wang, zhuowang@illinois.edu

Special Seminar - Dr. Victor Gensini - Northern Illinois University

Event Type
Seminar/Symposium
Sponsor
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
Location
217 Noyes Laboratory
Date
Mar 10, 2022   3:30 pm  
Views
56

Severe Convective Storms: Past, Present, and Future 

Severe Convective Storms (SCSs) cause significant socioeconomic impacts each year, with their aggregate losses often far surpassing other types of extreme meso-γ weather phenomena. As forecast skill continues to improveā —especially in the extended range—demand from stakeholders is rapidly growing for extreme weather forecasts that cover the intraseasonal (or subseasonal) window, often defined as the period spanning 2 weeks to 2 months into the future. Numerical weather prediction is typically unskillful at this lead window due to the chaotic solutions associated with time integrating a Lorenz system. Thus, empirical relationships and forced-boundary approaches are popular methodological alternatives. This seminar will highlight recent advances in such approaches as they relate to our understanding of variability and predictability of SCSs in historical and future projected climates. A “past, present, and future” seminar progression will give participants an appreciation of historical context, current topics, and future avenues for research in this area.

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